Just because something turns out okay or even great, doesn’t mean the decision that led to the outcome was okay or even great. A good result does not necessarily equal a good decision, not in the short turn. Working backwards from outcome quality to decision quality requires a statistically large enough sample size. One result is not enough.
Don’t fall into the trap of claiming a decision was good because it turned out well.
The Wall Street Journal had an article just today, "What Covid’s One-Hit Wonders Should Have Taught Us," that mimicked our Maven cohort discussion yesterday; luck is not necessarily nebulous, but can be a discreet, unforeseen event--like a global pandemic.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/what-covids-one-hit-wonders-should-have-taught-us-92c7a147?st=K1xCWq&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink