Archive - Thinking in Bets

New Top Discussion

The one where I answer questions from readers of my Substack

3 hr ago

Open Discussion Thread Hi all! I wanted to start a new discussion thread. Even though these threads are generally for paid subscribers only, I am opening this one up t…

Feb 1

January 2023

The Monty Hall Problem and why calling someone a bird brain may be a compliment

Jan 31

My first AMA will be from 3pm to 4pm Eastern on Monday, February 20th. You must be a paid subscriber to join. I’ll be sending out the link the morning…

Jan 30

Morality, blame, and omission-comission bias

Jan 26

I’m going to be answering subscriber questions from time to time in mailbag posts. I’m excited to be able to interact more directly with my readers and…

Jan 21

Hi all! My next cohort on Maven.com is now open for registration! I ran my first cohort back in November and absolutely loved it. The students were…

Jan 20

Just because something is objectively true doesn't make it the truth

Jan 19

Lessons on longevity in Ajinomoto’s journey from MSG seasoning to semiconductor insulation

Jan 13

A free expert panel on Maven.com next week

Jan 12

Why I’m Moving My Newsletter to Substack I’ve been writing the newsletter for – geez, has it really been this long? – almost six years. The newsletter…

Jan 12

November 2022

This is Thinking in Bets, a newsletter about Uncertainty.

Nov 28, 2022

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